There are far more signals that AGI is going to be achieved by OpenAI, Anthropic, DeepMind or X.ai within the next 5-10 years than there were of any other hyped breakthrough in the past 100 years that ultimately never came to fruition. Doesn't mean it's guaranteed to happen, but to ignore the multitude of trends which show no signs of stopping, it seems naive in Anno Domani 2025 to discount it as a likely possibility.
And as the internet deteriorates due to AI slop, finding good training material will become increasingly difficult. It's already happening that incorrect AI generated information is being cited as source for new AI answers.
I'm sure most companies have understood the "AI outputs feeding AI's" incest issue for a while and have many methods to avoiding it. That's why so much has been put into synthetic data pipelines for years.
So agi before autonomous tesla? "Just two more years guys I promise", how can people keep falling for these lol