Isn't that one of the measures of when it becomes an AGI? So that doesn't help you with however many nines we are away from getting an AGI.

Even if you don't like that definition, you still have the question of how many nines we are away from having an AI that can contribute to its own development.

I don't think you know the answer to that. And therefore I think your "fast acceleration within two years" is unsupported, just wishful thinking. If you've got actual evidence, I would like to hear it.