Could we just not prohibit lawmakers from investing in particular stocks, but rather to only invest in the market as a whole (e.g. via ETFs) and/or in government bonds?
You're talking about HR 5106 [0] (aka the "Restore Trust in Congress Act"), currently being blocked by Republican House leadership, and actively facing a discharge position by the House rank and file (Republican included) to force a vote [1].
[0] https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr5106/BILLS-119hr5106ih....
[1] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/congress-stock-trading-ban-disc...
I don't know where the Overton Window is today, but it's a long way from Jimmy Carter's peanut farm.
Ironically, somewhere I was walking around on Sunday. Pretty place.
Source: https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/119/hr5106
It also blocks stock trading entirely for congressmen, which is dramatically different from what gp was suggesting.
The bill is sponsored by 37% of Democrats
22 Republican cosponsors out of 219 Republican representativs.
The bill is sponsored by 10% of Republicans.
I think you might be jumping to conclusions by calling it a bipartisan flop. Co-sponsorship is not the same as a vote, there may be people not on the sponsorship list who would vote for the bill.
The bill was introduced 3 months ago (43 days these last three months was a government shutdown) and not enough time has passed to determine whether the bill will be a "flop" or not.
I'm certainly not trying to seem like I'm jumping to any conclusions. But we should like to keep our definitions uniform throughout a given paragraph. Well, at least if we aspire to call ourselves rational.
Even "ETFs" are a big enough hole to drive a truck through in terms of performance, e.g., it's not hard to guess how an oil ETF will perform in response to certain geopolitical events.
We could also apply Presidential rules to all of them. The President has to essentially forgo all ability to manage his or her wealth during the time they are in office. Such shenanigans as they play must either be to benefit someone else, or a very long term play for when they are out of office. This is still what you might call "suboptimal" but it's an improvement, even just the "longterm" part. (We should be so lucky as for our politicians to be thinking about how to goose the longterm performance of our economy rather than how to make a couple million next week no matter what it does to everyone else.)
I think having a congressional required fund that the public could also invest in makes sense as well.
I’ve been thinking about an act to intentionally enrich members of Congress for reducing the deficit (e.g. a fraction of percent of savings certified by GAO goes to district and to member’s fund with a multi year cool off period, saving based on ratcheted down watermark).
The first allows constituents to reap the benefits of their member’s power, the second incentivizes members to be as financially motivated to not spend money as they are to spend money.
There needs to be more incentive to be wise with that money though. If a representative decides to “fall on their sword” and cut spending on local infrastructure projects, they enrich themselves while impoverishing their constituents. Other reps probably won’t jump in to save a district they don’t represent. I would worry that this would make politicians fleecing their neighbors even worse.
1. Only things that approximately match the contents of TSP funds or broader
2. Have to write down a 10b5-1 for the entire duration of your election plus one year, with a double cooloff period (6mo vs 3mo), and have to extend it within 3mo of each successful election.
I think the simplest way forward would be to require immediate, not delayed, disclosure of trades. If they’re doing something, let everyone see it immediately and it specific detail.
We could also implement some planned trading requirements for large purchases of individual stocks: If someone wants to trade more than $100K of something, make them announce it 7 or even 1 day in advance. They still get to buy it, but the market can front-run the investment if they believe there’s inside info at play.
If Congress is acting on singular companies, the congress people are usually smart enough to avoid obviously trading that singular stock.
The abstract doesn't seem to agree. The use of "firms" and "corporate" implies individual companies.
"purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms."
Banning trading outright is impossible and won't happen.
Congressional staff and congresspeople (and their families + extended families) should be forced to trade via an exchange that publicly discloses immediately, and any person on public dime needs to disclose specifically WHY they made the trade or, there needs to be some sort of mechanism that forces said congressfolk to disclose their trades 48 hours prior to execution, and held for at least X amount of time. Any selling of security needs to be announced well ahead of time.
Running for congress is already kind of a financially silly thing to do, that ship has sailed. Let’s pull the trigger on this and just see what happens.
Evidently it's not. There's another problem that it seems to me that it's mainly wealthy elite who get in. How many working class people are there in major leadership positions?
Cards on the table: I just don’t think people operate with single incentives like that, and even if they did, it’s a cost I’d pay easily.
Congressmen's salaries need to increase by 10x.
What's wrong with that? "If you choose a life in government, you'll never be rich, but you may be powerful" seems like a perfectly acceptable situation.
We don't stop athletes who use the gym regularly from competing because all the guys using steroids also went to the gym a lot.
And you're conflating "being financially intelligent" with "being primarily motivated by profit and personal gain".
A conman is often "financially intelligent", too, but what they're inclined to do with that intelligence matters.
There's so much more to life and the world than the number on your portfolio for christs sake.
Restricting people only to government bond investments (the first line of my post, the point I was responding to) does not happen widely in industry.
Restricting people’s trades of a few stocks where they have insider knowledge does happen. I would be in favor of laws against congressional insider trading, too, but not laws forbidding all stock ownership or restricting them to government bonds as was proposed above. That’s just short sighted.
Neither the comment you replied to, nor the proposed law, suggest the limit should be solely government bonds, which is what you're arguing against in your comment, they both say government bonds OR publicly traded diverse stock funds, for example ETFs.
Maybe you still believe that's restrictive enough to be a problem, but considering many people, even the likes of Warren Buffet, consider the best investment advice to be either "just invest in ETF/funds that track the whole market" or "just invest in a mix of ETFs/funds and also some bonds", while nobody considers "just invest in government bonds" to be good advice, your argument would be a hell if a lot weaker if actually applied to what IS being proposed rather than pretending that the proposal only allows investing in government bonds.
The flip side is it also discourages anyone primarily looking to profit off it, rather than being interested in actual governance.
There are historical examples of what happens when lawmakers mandate high amounts of money creation. It doesn’t end with the people being better off. It usually destroys the economy.
[1] https://statisticalatlas.com/metro-area/District-of-Columbia...
If you’re in a situation where getting more wealth could endanger your power, it makes sense not to wealth-max since, again, what else could you buy with it? But you need to get into the “what else could you buy with it” regime for this reasoning to make sense.
Someone who only has basic needs gets there pretty early. But even the relatively unenlightened don’t need the second jet except, yannow, for power.
So it's better to encourage people without any morals?
I think we need politicians who have the financial sense to see that the government is built to serve people whether or not they're invested in the market. As it is now now we've completely failed the American people.
The point is to level the playing field, not to become so restrictive and punishing that the job only appeals to politicians who are so self-sacrificing that they don’t exist as much as people want. Stocks also aren’t the only place where politicians could leverage their positions for personal financial gain.