Neural networks can at best uncover latent correlations that were already available in the inputs. Expecting anything more is basically just wishful thinking.
Neural networks can at best uncover latent correlations that were already available in the inputs. Expecting anything more is basically just wishful thinking.
If so, I'm not sure it's a useful framing.
For novel writing, sure, I would not expect much truly interesting progress from LLMs without human input because fundamentally they are unable to have human experiences, and novels are a shadow or projection of that.
But in math – and a lot of programming – the "world" is chiefly symbolic. The whole game is searching the space for new and useful arrangements. You don’t need to create new information in an information-theoretic sense for that. Even for the non-symbolic side (say diagnosing a network issue) of computing, AIs can interact with things almost as directly as we can by running commands so they are not fundamentally disadvantaged in terms of "closing the loop" with reality or conducting experiments.
When I apply that machine (with its giant pool of pirated knowledge) _to my inputs and context_ I can get results applicable to my modestly novel situation which is not in the training data. Perhaps the output is garbage. Naturally if my situation is way out of distribution I cannot expect very good results.
But I often don't care if the results are garbage some (or even most!) of the time if I have a way to ground-truth whether they are useful to me. This might be via running a compile, a test suite, a theorem prover or mk1 eyeball. Of course the name of the game is to get agents to do this themselves and this is now fairly standard practice.
¹https://chatgpt.com/share/69367c7a-8258-8009-877c-b44b267a35...
It does this all the time, but as often as not then outputs nonsense again, just different nonsense, and if you keep it running long enough it starts repeating previous errors (presumably because some sliding window is exhausted).
I use AI as a means of last resort only now and then mostly as a source of inspiration rather than a direct tool aiming to solve an issue. And like that it has been useful on occasion, but it has at least as often been a tremendous waste of time.
Modern LLMs are trained by reinforcement learning where they try to solve a coding problem and receive a reward if it succeeds.
Data Processing Inequalities (from your link) aren't relevant: the model is learning from the reinforcement signal, not from human-written code.