The Dunning-Kruger effect probably is real

I think it’s worth going into a particular detail: Pete Hegseth and operational security. The test is a pass-fail based on a variable number of risk assessments. It is possible to take the test without knowing that. Sometimes, noise allows a lucky pass.

The question is: how does each member of that Signal group think they’ll do on a re-test? The investigation in the aftermath shows that the higher-ranked ones thought they’d do better and the lower-ranked ones realized the incompetence of their superiors. To me, it doesn’t get more Dunning-Kruger than that.