Man, that's a hard one and anyone saying they know what will happen is lying. This is the wild wild west, anything and everything is possible.
One variable is government intervention and geo politics - that could completely change the playing field. Would they intervene to protect workers and unemployment or would they bet on the best tech and profit at all cost. What happens if we are 500% more efficient but 50% unemployment rate - nothing good.
RE: the software industry. I LOVE AI, I have built more apps in the last year than my entire 25+ year craeer. I can build and launch apps in days instead of months. The people complaining about slop don't know what they are doing. If you are a shitty developer before AI, you will still be a shitty developer with AI. But if you know what you are doing, holy shit, it's a 100x multiplier.
I built stuff I couldn't dream off. 3 podcasts, 4 books, an app that automatically summarizes the daily news, turns into a podcast script, generate the audio and publish to spotify, youtube and itunes - took about 4 days to build.
I built an app that helps you write books (fiction and non fiction) and publish it in epub format with a cover art, it validates thet story arc, continuity, plot, characters, and can create a series and tie all the threads - took 5 days to build.
I open sourced an app that compares model responses across 300+ models using openrouter and you can share your comparisons - took 2 days to build.
I open sourced an a desktop app starter template to quickly build desktop apps with a local database, automatic updates, apple signing and CI/CD to auto release new versions - took 2 days to build.
I build 10 more apps, it's a long list.
I am not saying this to brag, just to show off the POWER OF AI. My ideas don't die in a "Ideas List" anymore, they are being created and launched and it FEELS GREAT...
I haven't figured out the marketing part yet :) - but I am just loving the building and releasing part - hopefully the marketing comes in naturally.