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I have noticed in just the past two weeks or so, a lot of the naysayers have changed their tunes. I expect over the next 2 months there will be another sea change as the network effect and new frameworks kick in.

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No. If anything we are getting "new" models but hardly any improvements. Things are "improving" on scores, ranking and whatever other metrics the AI industry has invented but nothing is really materializing in real work.

I've seen a number of previous skeptics change their tune with Opus 4.5.

I think we have crossed the chasm and the pragmatists have adopted these tools because they are actually useful now. They've thrown out a lot of their previously held principles and norms to do so and I doubt the more conservative crowd will be so quick to compromise.

2 years sounds more likely than 2 months since the established norms and practices need to mature a lot more than this to be worthy of the serious consideration of the considerably serious.

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