Also the US capital market is huge. Surprisingly huge, even, and there is very little that can change that for the foreseeable future.
Also the US capital market is huge. Surprisingly huge, even, and there is very little that can change that for the foreseeable future.
They already allow this somewhat. Tesla's Gigafactory in Shanghai is fully owned by Tesla, and is the first wholly foreign-owned car manufacturing plant in China, operating without a required local joint venture partner.
It's a very different thing to trust that China will maintain the value of its currency, than to trust that investment in Chinese companies will remain liquid and not be arbitrarily cut to a price of zero.
I'm not saying you're wrong, but I also don't fully understand the need to have grander access to capital markets. Perhaps access to the equivalent of US Treasury auctions?
That's why do many Chinese people buy assets in the Anglo world; assets are much better protected here
If China signals that it is changing its attitude on its currency, that it wants to be the reserve currency and establish a consumer economy, it wouldn't take much for people to shift these days. Nobody needs to adopt the Renminbi 100% right away, they can transition to multiple currencies for a while as a hedge against the US, and the situation will evolve. Dedollarization won't happen in a month or a year, it will be a multi-year process once it kicks off. But once it kicks off, it will be because of such a loss of confidence in the US that it probably won't be possible to stop it.
Well if you use the renminbi or yuan as just a medium of exchange, well, why bother when you already have the dollar?
To answer your question better, what is the point of access to capital markets of a country and how does that stabilize or strengthen its currency, or make it more highly sought after?
> when the dollar is propped up precisely on the good will
The dollar isn't valuable because of good will. Central banks in Europe, or Japan, or elsewhere don't hold dollars because they want to be nice to the United States. They hold them because the United States is incredibly wealthy, has incredibly deep capital markets, high liquidity, and because the dollar is a great medium of exchange.
That's the thing I keep coming back to. What are the specific features of the currency that make it more valuable than the other reserve currencies that exist today? I don't think China is willing to do what they would need to do add those features, because it requires CCP to loosen control and they can't do that.
If China "democratized" it would unlock a ton of potential and go on to dominate the globe. But doing that requires untenable changes for the CCP so it won't happen.
Plus everyone is going to be mad and distrustful once they invade Taiwan.