I’m seeing the Sino-Soviet split.
Europe might have a unique opportunity to ally with China to pry it from Russia. America gets the Western Hemisphere. Eurasia contains itself.
Sounds like it could be promising, but how in that world do you get containers back and forth between Europe and China, given that USEUCOM could mine Gibraltar; USCENTCOM, Suez and Aden; and USINDOPACOM, Malacca?
(My personal optimistic view atm is an independent free-trading armed-neutral european block which is sufficiently valuable that any move by one of the three major powers to bring it under their bloc will naturally be countered by the other two)
"Optimists practise speaking Cantonese, pessimists— speaking Russian, realists— stripping and reassembling rifles"?
may I predict that the optimist get up to speed on some gallic^W portuguese-orthographed (old-)Yue-based murine cant?
https://archive.ph/2025.07.19-083802/https://www.hk01.com/%E...
Ps: troll me harder with the birefringence bro! Not feeling it!
https://youtu.be/O9o0Fwuc57A?t=33m36s
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Yue_language
back from the days of "turn on tune in drop out": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eWqdLTii-I
Generation 2 "P"hút Hơn? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnUhhuPOiNE
Hà Nội seems like it would benefit from getting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thai_Canal off (out of) the ground?
"Show HN: Sun Dial that works only on cloudy days"
Also interested to see where you are going to host that :)
「...也沒有家庭托舉...」 — does this refer to financial, or emotional, support?
I see Hainan has not only PLAN, but also a plan: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hainan_Free_Trade_Port ; I guess that trade has yet to materialise?
Hainan is CPC's attempt to check the role of Stanford (latter being just as far from the Imperator). Hanoi has VNU+bros (globalist Saint had a stint, already has one Fields' etc)
Thai Canal would do more for HCMC?
Not to mention they are already light years ahead in propaganda, as you^W all note :)
(Aside now is EU's best chance to pry Iran away, but Stanford affiliated folks are asleep as usual. reversing Brexit might be harder? ;)
I haven't seen Trump allying himself with China. Any references?
https://www.belfercenter.org/programs/thucydidess-trap/repre...
But considering Trump is an uncontrollable toddler, I guess he knows that's a title he can never keep..
> He controls 1.4 billion people with an iron fist. He’s a brilliant guy whether you like it or not.
> He’s now president for life. President for life. No, he’s great. And look, he was able to do that. I think it’s great. Maybe we’ll have to give that a shot some day.
Best of luck, America!
Germany only became a national project in the 19th century. It was a collection of principalities before that. Unlike its neighbours, who were actual Great Powers at the time, it lacked colonial interests to exploit and get rich from. And then when oil became important in the early 20th century, Germany didn't have access to oil.
So Germany felt like it would get swallowed up by its neighbours at some point and sought to assert its dominance, throwing away the Bismarck order. When scores were settled, Germany was punished with devastating reparations that laid the groundwork for WW2 and, on the side, countries like Britain secured their oil interests in the Middle East.
Post-WWI brought the Spanish flu (pandemic anyone?), hyperinflation to Germany, a badly attempted coup (the Beer Hall Putsch; sound familiar?) and the rise of a populist fascist who blamed all of Germany's problems on undesirables, Jews and Communists (any modern parallels, at all?).
Europe had entered an era of appeasement, desperately seeking to not repeat the "Great War". Reunification of German peoples was used as an excuse to seize all sorts of land.
Now Stalin tried to warn Britain and France of the dangers of Hitler and form an alliance in 1939, which failed [1]. So instead Stalin formed what you'd have to call an uneasy alliance with Hitler.
WW2 breaks out, yada yada yada, Hitler betrays Stalin and Stalin basically defeated Hitler at a terrible cost. The US had 400k casulaties in the European theater of WW2. The estimates for Soviet military and civilian losses in the same period are between 26 and 29 million.
Where FDR had sought to rebalance the inequalities in the Depression and created lasting legacies we depend on today such as Social Security, Truman decided Communism was the enemy and, as such, the USSR was the Great Enemy, a decision that led directly to the Korean and Vietnam Wars and other smaller conflicts.
And who would be good at killing Communists? Nazis of course. Operation Paperclip is well known. Less well known is how hudnreds if not thousands of former Nazis were forgiven their "moral lapses" and joined the ranks of the CIA, the FBI and NATO as well as the new West German military command [2].
Hitler and Stalin were fundamentally different beasts. I'm not saying Stalin was a good guy. He commited his share of atrocities. So did every American president if we're keeping score. But one thing Stalin was really good at was killing Nazis.
So began almost 50 years of Cold War that saw the Red Scare and the near complete destruction of any form of organized labor in the US. All to fight Communism.
I say "fascism won" because the Nazis weren't wiped out and we're seeing fascism reborn in the US and Europe while people who survived the Holocaust are still alive. That's how little time it took.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triple_alliance_negotiations
[2]: https://www.npr.org/2014/11/05/361427276/how-thousands-of-na...
He killed more of his own people then he did Germans, probably by ratio of 5:1
They built very similar totalitarian regimes. The only difference were the criteria they used to kill the millions of people.