I've been at this longer than most.

After three major generations of models the "intuition" I've build isn't about what AI can do, but about what a specific model family can do.

No one cares what the gotchas in gpt3 are because it's a stupid model. In two years no one will care what they were for gpt5 or Claude 4 for the same reason.

We currently have the option of wasting months of our lives to get good at a specific model, or burn millions to try and get those models to do things by themselves.

Neither option is viable long term.