The advantage of being first in the market, and now having a large use based, let me think you'd need to have a solution at least 5 times better and easy to learn (less than 1 day), just for people to "consider" it due to the migration costs.
Fun story- I come from France, where everybody uses the azerty layout for some copyright reasons initially IIRC (qwerty was copyrighted, but if you switched some letters around it suddenly was not copyright infringement) and now for historical reason.
In high school, after examining the situation, I quickly decided to go with qwerty for some simple reasons :
- easier to find on new hardware (say, laptop, smartphone with a physical keyboard, etc)
- large software support (in the bios, now uefi, - not a single thing to change)
- good enough support for 8 bit chars (Brazilian Portuguese layout, us international, "canadien normalise"....)
- quick transition to different national layout (I'll be lost for some days, mostly for the commas and periods, but then I will be quickly productive)
You know the saying - you can't change others. You can only change yourself.
So I figured out the best hack was to hack my tastes, not the keyboard ;-)
qwerty might be 1 to 5% less optimal than something else - let's even say 10%. But being suported on 100% of the hardware and software makes all the difference.
Now when I need some hardware on ebay I'm sure I'll find a good qwerty solution. My french friends bitch and moan about the lack of azerty support, and the trouble it is for them to manage different keyboard layouts in their head. I wonder if that's the same for dvorak layout users.