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This is just one market. The other bets are all across the stock market.

Or in paying a part of the tariff bill for companies in exchange to an entitlement to the full refund if the tariffs were ruled unconstitutional.

The order of magnitude of “money to be made” is the same.

polymarket and kalshi are used as inputs to the rest of the market.

placing bets on polymarket is a cheap way to influence the whole market