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Comment by varispeed | Hacker News Reader

You miss the fact that many adversaries will not act rationally.

Yes, if it was acting rationally the US Would not have spent billions trying to blow up an 80 year old man while massively increasing the price of oil and fertiliser globally leading to economic instability

But the US has not acted rationally. It hasn't since January 2021.

There could be a rational explanation if you assume US administration is compromised by Russia and Ayatollah's son wanted him out to assume power. One phone call to Putin, Putin's one phone call to Krasnov and everyone is happy. Son gets the power, Russia gets sanctions lifted, higher oil price, US and allies spend kit that cannot be now sold to Ukraine, Krasnov gets to play the stock market. Win-win-win.

That son almost died during US strike and survived by pure luck, so unprobable. The rest, not so much.

Free democratic world loses, dictators around the globe win. Sad days for mankind.

> That son almost died during US strike and survived by pure luck, so unprobable.

It is not verified and probably a cover story for why he flew to Moscow to personally thank Putin.

Especially when they're optimizing for afterlife.

The fact that many Iranian officials optimize stealing millions from the state, means they aren't optimizing for the afterlife

Fair point. It seems to be a weird mix of people who optimize for afterlife and a mafia that lives their best life now.

This thread is talking about how the adversaries will attack America based on the current events that Iran is counter-attacking Israel and American bases since Israel and America invaded them illegally.

Lots of smugness about the supposed irrationality of the adversaries considering that backdrop.

A big part of the US involvment in the current war is driven by Christian Zionists, that literally believe that there needs to be a fucking end-of-the-times war in the region so Christ comes back.

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