isn't this insane? why aren't people freaking out? the jump in capability is outrageous. anyone?
https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/issues?q=is%3Aissu...
Apparently whatever SWE-bench is measuring isn't very relevant.
Maybe that's why they haven't released it - to give it a vacation?
I don’t doubt they have found interesting security holes, the question is how they actually found them.
This System Card is just a sales whitepaper and just confirms what that “leak” from a week or so ago implied.
I suspect it's going to be used to train/distill lighter models. The exciting part for me is the improvement in those lighter models.
We're opening a can of worms which I don't think most people have the imagination to understand the horrors of.
Firstly, I'd propose that all technological advances are a product of time and intelligence, and that given unlimited time and intelligence, the discovery and application of new technologies is fundamentally only limited by resources and physics.
There are many technologies which might plausibly exist, but which we have not yet discovered because we only have so much intelligence and have only had so much time.
With more intelligence we should assume the discovery of new technologies will be much quicker – perhaps exponential if we consider the rate of current technology discovery and exponential progression of AI.
There are lots of technologies we have today which would seem like magic to people in the past. Future technologies likely exist which would make us feel this way were they available today.
While it's hard to predict specifically which technologies could exist soon in a world with ASI, if we assume it's within the bounds of available resources and physics, we should assume it's at least plausible.
Examples:
- Mind control – with enough knowledge about how the brain works you can likely devise sensory or electro-magnetic input that would manipulate the functioning of brain to either strongly influence or effectively dictate it's output.
- Mind simulation - again, with enough knowledge of the brain, you could take a snapshot of someones mind with an advanced electro-magnetic device and simulate it to torture them in parallel to reveal any secret, or just because you feel like doing it.
- Advantage torture – with enough knowledge of human biology death becomes optional in the future. New methods of torture which would have previously have killed the victim are now plausible. States like North-Korea can now force humans to work for hundreds of years in incomprehensible agony for opposing the state.
- Advanced biological weapons – with enough knowledge of virology sophisticated tailor-made viruses replace nerve agents as Russia's weapon of choice for killing those accused of treason. These viruses remain dormant in the host for months infecting them and people genetically similar to them (parents, children, grandchildren). After months, the virus rapidly kills its hosts in horrific ways.
I could go on, you just need to use your imagination. I'm not arguing any of the above are likely to be discovered, just that it would be very naive to think AI will stop at a cure for cancer. If it gives us cure for cancer, it will give us lots of things we might wish it didn't.
However, I think people tend to fail to acknowledge the product of exponential trends, so the question in my mind is more whether or not you believe AI will unlock an exponential increase in the rate of progress and understanding. Extremely complex is still finite complexity at the end of the day.
Maybe AI won't significantly increase the rate of progress across all scientific fields. I am fairly confident it will significantly increase the rate of progress over at least some though, and it seems likely to me that biological progresses will be much easier for us to model and predict with AI. I'm much less sure about progress in domains like physics and robotics.
For example, it's hard to imagine an AI which gives us the capability to cure cancer, but doesn't give us the capability to create target super viruses.
Nick Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis more or less describes my own concerns, https://nickbostrom.com/papers/vulnerable.pdf
At some point we should probably try to resist the urge to pick balls out of the urn as we may eventually pull out a ball we don't want.
Tell me how this will replace Jira, planning, convincing PM's about viability. Programming is only a part of the job devs are doing.
AI psychosis is truly next level in these threads.
Programming is a huge part of the job. In a world where AI does the programming we're going to need 80% fewer software professionals.
It won't be a full replacement of the role, you're correct there - but it'll be a major downsizing because of productivity gains.
pick one or more: comically huge model, test time scaling at 10e12W, benchmark overfit
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capitalism
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_to_the_bottom
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arms_race
Of course they'll release it once they can de-risk it sufficently and/or a competitor gets close enough on their tail, whichever comes first.
Looks like they just built a way larger model, with the same quirks than Claude 4. Seems like a super expensive "Claude 4.7" model.
I have no doubts that Google and OpenAI already done that for internal (or even government) usage.
- Job loss by me being replaced by an AI or by somebody using an AI. Or by an AI using an AI.
- Resulting societal instability once blue collar jobs get fully automated at scale, and there is no plan in place to replace this loss of peoples' livelihoods.
- People turning to AI models instead of friends for emotional support, loss of human connection.
- Erosion of democracy by making authoritarianism and control very scalable, broad in-detail population surveillance and automated investigation using LLMs that was previously bounded by manpower.
- Autonomous weapons, "Slaughterbots" as in the short film from 2017
- Biorisk through dangerous biological capabilities that enable a smaller team of less skilled terrorists to use a jailbroken LLM to create something dangerous.
- Other powers in the world deciding that this technology is too powerful in the hands of the US, or too dangerous to be built at all and has to be stopped by all means.
- Loss of/Voluntary ceding of control over something much smarter than us. "If Anyone Build It, Everyone Dies"