Crypto was flawed from the beginning and lots of people didn't understood it properly. Not even that a blockchain can't secure a transaction from something outside of a blockchain.
LLMs don't have to be perfect, they just need to be as good as humans and cheaper or easier to manage.
$100+ billion in R&D and it's not comparable... hmm
And yet they don't do really good jobs with pretty much anything, save for software development, to which people still seem pretty split as far as it being a helpful thing. That's before we even factor in the cost.
I also believe that whatever code researchers and other non software engineers wrote before coding agents, were similiar shitty but took them a lot longer to write.
Like do you know how many researchers need to do some data analysis and hack around code because they never learned programming? So so many. If they know how to verify their data (which they needed to know before already), a LLM helps them already.
There is also plenty of other code were perfection doesn't matter. Non SaaS software exists.
For security experts, we just saw whats happening. The curl inventor mentioned it online that the newest AI reports for Security issues are real and the amount of security gaps found are real and a lot of work.
Image generation is very good and you can see it today already everywere. From cheap restaurants using it, to invitations, whatsapp messages, social media, advertising.
I have a work collegue, who is in it for 6 years and he studied, he is so underqualified if you give me his salary as tokens today, i wouldn't think for a second to replace him.
Than suddenly one model update moves it from 80% to 85% and now 30% of the market wants to use it.
Then it might be already too late to act like using it to your advantage, being a valuable expert or deciding things long term based on the new state of affairs.
>Then it might be already too late to act like using it to your advantage, being a valuable expert or deciding things long term based on the new state of affairs.
There's no universe where this is happening. The tools just are not that good. It's been years of folks like you telling me my job will disappear, but the only thing that this has demonstrated is that the vast majority programmers have *NO IDEA* what other people actually do for a living and how they do it.
I personally think we are running in a very critical / interesting phase of 5-15 years were we will see how it might affect us.
Besides, it affects already real jobs and real people. Translator, avg/junior graphics designer etc.
They weren't back then.
>I personally think we are running in a very critical / interesting phase of 5-15 years were we will see how it might affect us.
That's a nice thought.
>Besides, it affects already real jobs and real people. Translator, avg/junior graphics designer etc.
The predictions were much greater than just translation and graphic design, so again, what's your point?