> Some once-in-a-generation scientist has an intuition that turns out to be true and mathematically elegant.
That’s a bit simplistic. There was a lot of research activity around the aether in the late 19th century that was ultimately useful for the foundation of special relativity. Like the Michelson-Morley experiment, which was supposed to measure aether winds, but showed it did not actually seem to exist. Lorentz developed his transform as a theory of the aether, but it became a cornerstone of special relativity. Einstein based his ideas on a lot of things that were done a couple of decades before, some of which were supposed to be part of a theory of the aether.
There was actually quite a lot of activity and vigorous debate between aether and something else, unknown at the time, that turned out to be relativity. Einstein did not just show up and invent everything. There is a very quick overview of this here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_special_relativity