Generally agree but I can’t take both parties as being the same seriously. You honestly believe the world stage would be the same with a different administration today?
The parties are basically lighting rods at this point. They claim that they're for this or against that, they would do this, we should do that, and if only we... blablabla. But in the end, nothing concrete ever changes. Sure there are adjustments here or there that quickly get canceled by the next administration, but nothing systemic is ever really changing.
- SCOTUS would be radically different in composition without a GOP President being elected in 2016. That would have preserved post-Watergate reforms that prevented broad, sweeping executive actions that go against Congress's wishes. So at best Trump II could only look like a Trump I
- We wouldn't have attacked Iran. Continued closing of Hormuz has pretty far-reaching consequences
- EU might not be trying as hard to be as independent on defense matters, and the US would be active in Ukraine
- US would not be as ambivalent about Taiwan under a non-Trump administration
There are many places where things wouldn't have changed much. But electing Trump has had far reaching consequences to the constitutional system.
As of today, the EU has not done anything concrete and real to be more military independent. Yes they have created "institutions" and "programs" and enacted "regulatory changes" (things they love to do in Europe), but concretely their military capabilities have not moved at all. These are just the thing the EU has been doing for a long time with never any result.
Again, do you have actual data to predict what the US position vis a vis Taiwan/China would be with a different administration?
What I will give you is that yes, Trump is way more disruptive than the previous tag team game the blues and the reds were playing before. I still don't think it will change much. Trump has not done anything truly radical.
1. Iraq War (how does President Al Gore convince us to go to war in Iraq?!?)
2. ACA (President McCain passes the Affordable Care Act or something like it)
3. SCOTUS and downstream consequences (How does a President Hillary Clinton appoint a SCOTUS that overturns Roe v. Wade, to name a few)
Those are fairly preposterous, so I don't know how you can hold "it doesn't matter"
On Iran War itself, we didn't attack Iran for decades :) Past Presidents knew about the risks to the Strait of Hormuz, and this president clearly ignored numerous warnings.
(a) Past Presidents did not ignore these warnings, it's well known this would be a move from Iran from military planners (b) Current president clearly did (c) "It never matters" doesn't hold, because clearly
Hormuz being a known / ignored risk is well known
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/02/us/politics/trump-iran-st... https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/13/goal-plan-ir...
ACA didn't happen because of Obama for example.
For example I voted for Claudia de la Cruz in the 2024 election because she was on the ballot in Virginia:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claudia_De_la_Cruz_2024_presid...
There’s no party, neither the Democratic and especially not the Republican Party would come anywhere near these policy positions and I’m in support of 100% of the positions they seem obvious to me as correct.