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Right, but is there any evidence of intelligence behind any of these (government) decisions? It’s just regulatory capture + marketing (plus some people living out an imaginary fantasy that they’re in Neuromancer or something), absolutely no reason to think they won’t try and target open models as part of this.

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There's at least one reason: much harder to make a profit in policing non-american companies and open-source models without huge (or even any) MRR.

If the real motive is profit, then open source models are likely simply not a viable means to that end.

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