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I think we have more than 1 data point for AI progress.

We have zero data points for AGI progress.

Progress is defined by capability data points over time that we have plenty where AGI is a threshold ie. stuff like METR [0] and dozens of others.

[0] https://metr.org/time-horizons

None of those are AGI data point points. LLMs are making terrific progress but it's unknown whether they're progressing towards true AGI or in some other direction.

What would be an AGI data point?

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