Hacker News Reader

Your intuition has been telling you this same thing for years, now:

If you shorted Nvidia back when you started complaining, you would not be any richer or better-off today. I'm not an AI maxi, but you've let your own emotions poison your understanding of the AI market segment.

Grab a coffee with Leopold Aschenbrenner, ask how their experience with intuition went. You must be right, on time, and with sufficient capital behind you to win.

Arguable he had all 3. He was right about the market going up for AI, he was right about the years, and he had double-digit billions behind him.

It's just there's no sufficient capital when you decide to re-leverage to 4x every time you can.

He was too early.

Another standing reminder:

LONG position: potential losses (FIXED), potential gains (INFINITE)

SHORT position: potential losses (INFINITE), potential gains (FIXED)