No they don't, human intelligence has the ability to form an internal model of itself, which allows it to "notice" its own mistakes and change.
Project 2025, Maralago accords.
So far the only major policy item the Trump admin seems to have not intended was the Iran War. Israel killing the intended replacement, Iran leveraging the straight of Hormuz, and dropping three Tomahawks on an elementary school really botched that one.
In other words, a lot of this depends on what scale/scope is being inspected. On the high level, the world is chaos rather than a meticulous and inscrutable plan of the Illuinati Shadow Cabal. On the low level, people do things for reasons, even if they're dumb ones.
With respect to the "current political climate", I'd like to suggest that a lot of dumb or seemingly "against their own interests" stuff is due to people prioritizing costly in-group loyalty signals. Their interest in staying good with the tribe is just higher than their interest against a dumb national policy.
It's just peter theil's texting groups.
The ability to conspiracy both willing and unwilling is such a low threshold now, it's virtually indistinguishable.
You watch one billionaire do something and you're like, I'm a billionaire, I should do that too.
The fact that there's so few billionaires, the probability that they conspire together both direct and indirect approaches 1.
The inverse of course is rediciously hard to conceive: the working class bands together to get something like universal healthcare.