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> Nobody knows the answer and history is no guide, save that apocalyptic predictions about new technologies have, to date, all been wrong.

By definition, apocalyptic predictions will always be wrong, until they are right exactly once.

Also know as https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkey_illusion

To date, all apocalyptic predictions about nuclear war and nuclear winter have all been wrong too.

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This is quite illustrative. Warnings of a nuclear apocalypse were extremely widespread, known, and feared. The consequences were, indeed, so well known that the world was saved from the worst possible outcomes in the past by regular enlisted men and women who realized that not all instrument readings should be trusted due to the potential cost of acting on such readings alone. Given the Turkey Illusion, we would be wrong to trust the status quo in either the nuclear scenario or the AI scenario.

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