What’s very scary is that the type of people to downplay x risks are the exact people who have the absolute WORST track record like Timnit and Bender and Gary Marcus and Yann LeCun. At least Yanns only mistake was to not be bullish on language models. Timnit and Bender are not just wrong, they are fundamentally bad faith people.

The people who got predictions right on the other hand are people like Yud and Nate Soares who think x risks are real.

So here you have people with a good track record, who know how things work and they seem to suggest x risks are real. What do we take from this?