Yeah, it is saturated.

It's actually quite hard to make a single task/question with few steps max that SOTA models fail on. Gemini are on top, because asking domain specific questions still breaks most top models, but not Gemini ones.

Claude is lower, and also most Antrophic models, because (historically) they have one of the highest refusal rates and also struggled more with precisely following instructions (i.e. outputting in a specific format/way).