I'm not aware of any benchmarks that measure the first "analyze XYZ geopolitical situation" but legal reasoning is very closely related to "explain the ramifications of XYZ law".
Legal Bench[1] measures legal reasoning. It's close to saturated (ie, there isn't a lot of room for improvement) but Fable scores 88% vs eg Opus 4.7 at 85%.
There probably isn't a lot of room for improvement on something like this - there is enough disagreement in legal reasoning to mean 100% is going to be impossible.