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AI capabilities keep getting bumpier and bumpier. There's no reason to believe it won't stall out on a front that it is already quite bad at (correctly formalizing in human language)

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“LLM progress will stall in some area at some point” — which is my interpretation of what you wrote — feels particularly unfalsifiable

The negated statement --- that LLM progress will never stall in any area --- seems trivially falsifiable, so why is the GP's statement unfalsifiable?

This incorrectly assumes falsifiability survives negation. https://philosophy.stackexchange.com/questions/52015/is-the-...

logic vs wisdom

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