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> 5% solution (to the hardest problems),

Isn't that more likely the easiest problems in the set? I suppose the hardest problems compared to those that have been solved.

Otherwise your points stand.

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If we have a jagged frontier inside the domain of math (very plausible, the jagged frontier concept seems to be quite fractal), the model solved the easier problems in his area of major strenght, some of them will be in the bottom 5% of the easiest problems in the full set, and some in remaining 95% of problems

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