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this seems a bit odd to me (change the link to 1 day)

Yulia Navalnaya (widow of Alexei Navalny) had a ton of play, and Navi Pillay didn't even have a market?

edit: and what dang just added about the US - ICC sanctions

Pretty stupid prize to bet on considering the committee keeps even the nominees secret for 50 years.

It would still be detectable though: Does sum(price of all Yes) have an early unexpected down draw?

It would be funny to have such a prize finance itself by doing this. Openly. Game theory working over time on that one.

I hope it gets banned by the next administration.