> The technology can, in volume of adequate output or in quality of output, overwhelmingly outclass what alternative technologies can do. A moderate improvement isn't really enough to force inevitability: it has to be a massive difference.

> Now we come to the question of whether or not the difference that LLMs bring to the table is sufficiently overwhelming to make their adoption inevitable, and on this I think the answer is a clear no. As established above, LLMs just can't do top-flight work at all: at the heights of basically any discipline, we're still very much relying on unaugmented human work.

The clear flaw here is that cost isn't taken into account. A new technology needs to be better than the status quo at a given cost/price point.

Examples: mass produced textiles, photography, IKEA. Ostensibly not the highest quality, but the cheapest at a price point.