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Indeed, aren't medical trials based on its effects, rather than how it works?

Would you prefer to take the medicine that is proven to work or the one that is quite interesting for academic reasons behind its understood mechanisms but doesn't actually work?

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Right, the better argument would've been to say that we should wait until the drug undergoes some early trials, rather than just "some expert looking at it".

Then the argument doesn’t stand. In maths, the metaphor to “some early trials” is a few agents writing / verifying a LEAN proof.

The clinical trial is how humans gain an understanding of how a drug works. How else is that supposed to work?

You run an experiment to test your hypothesis. It's not like you can build a model with zero data. You can only make predictions at best.

You guys act like understanding something requires complete and global knowledge about everything.

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