> We could be in for a decade long software career recession until the effects of poorly managed and written software trickles down to lost customers and company bankruptcies. Bad decisions in large companies take a very long time to produce clearly visible effects.
this does not mean software jobs would come back, you'd just end up in the amazon situation where today you use word made by JOXHSWW, then there are too many bugs and you buy another word made by ANSJJGG and so on.
Some B2B software will continue, but B2C can just become a single person fly by night with some models, or you can end up doing it yourself. A couple of years ago a model one-shotting a game of pacman was sci-fi, now it's just another benchmark, maybe the next model benchmarks will be one-shot photoshop or word or whatever. Either way today's C is more interested in doomscrolling tiktok on their phone than to booting up a computer to do some photo editing anyways.
As the article says, "taste" is still important in steering a model, but for how long? and how many people with taste do you really need compared to a few years ago where you needed people with taste AND a lot of people to execute.
It feels AI is just the next step of outsourcing, writing specs in the evening then magically the next morning software appears which might or might not work the way you expected, and the cycle repeated, only today the cycle is in your terminal and takes minutes vs hours/days