Except we do know this because people built similar systems at similar scales and temperatures before.
> All of them received significant investment
Not compared to Nuclear, Fossil Fuel, or PV R&D + subsidies. For scale in the US alone “From FY 2016 to FY 2022, federal subsidies for renewable energy totaled $183.3 billion” That’s more than 1 ITER per year, and splitting that budget across multiple countries and 2 decades is a very different proposition. Especially as there was ITER funding in this time period so the delta is less than the full cost of the project.
Further look at the timeline, I’m suggesting the project should have finished long before PV became cheap.