> I don't think fusion has any significant chance of succeeding now.

if by "now" you mean schedules proposed by all those fusion startups, then you should've known better the moment they became "viral" in a very fake way (same for quantum computers)

for a more serious timeline, ITER is coming online early 30s, add a decade to get to more-than-even tokamak and another decade for something "commercial"

and by then it will be just in time to support operations on the Moon, I guess