Do you not relate to knowing whether a throw is going to swish or not, even as the ball is still just leaving your hand?

That's your analytical brain registering a signal from your intuition in a complex situation in which you have gained fluency.

Intuition drains many portfolios. But intuition that is informed by a lot of hard work and analysis has built many portfolios. Intuition doesn't always mean "no work", "guessing" or hopeful "manifesting".