Because of fears of AI, and people watching these indicators as hawks, the exact opposite will happen, they will try delaying this as much as possible to delay the backlash until it's too late.

Elon already stopped talking about job loses and doom, and tries to talk only about the positive.

no, i'd be more convinced if positions drop for tier 4 companies where everything is a mess. Companies like Anthropic have every incentive to build their system around AI accessibility and understanding.

Yeah I think it is the main indicator for many people, including myself.

Obviously it would need to be sustained for a reasonable amount of time while also showing at least stable finances.