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Comment by caaqil | Hacker News Reader

In other news, there's never been a better time to be a software developer. Come to think of it, there's also never been a better time to invest in learning copy-editing and proof-reading as a side hustle. It's a Brave New World. Everything is fine, the demand just got expanded, the pie got bigger, nothing more. New doors will be opened, nothing has changed; in fact, everything improved. Stochastic parrots are no match for our carbon-based g.

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It's sure the best time to be a cynical internet commenter, though! The field is having a renaissance not seen since early-2000s slashdot.

I doubt demand expanded much. I mean there is just that many games/whatever apps that the whole humanity needs. Maybe ti will go up a bit, like 50%, but getting 10x (or very easily 1000x if we just vibe code them) in supply doesn't change that.

Instead, people who sell shovels win big.

Mathematicians and software engineers have very different career progressions and financing, so similar AI effects affect them differently.

The pie didn't get bigger (equivalent to economy)

The number of pie eaters (equivalent to workers) got bigger.

I mean if you read some history it’s not the first time complete workforces have been replaced. It doesn’t mean the same jobs stay, but usually there will be something to do.

There's not reason to think that it has to be same this time. If AI becomes better than humans at cognitive work, what extra jobs would get created?

Whilst I agree it’s not conclusive to assume that just bc something happened the way it did in the past it will happen again. I think there’s still 'reason to believe'.

My answer to your job is that more jobs move from secondary to tertiary sector (entertainment). That has happened usually.

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