All this incremental progress is just more of the same. I want a real novel capability, not just more, faster, cheaper, “smarter”.
We are barely 4 years in since the release of a historically important tech. Of course the next few years are incremental. thats how it always works.
Even last year, before opus 4.5, long-horizon agents didnt really work. I would not say the last 12 months are only incremental
As an aside, I remember when sora 2 launched and thinking, "wow I wonder if we'll ever get something close this in open weights?" The prevailing sentiment was "maybe 5 years." Yet, we have Minimax H3 and Flux a year and a half later.