AI could bear out, but it seems a lot of hype to me. Does anyone remember how Japan built up AI and their 5th generation language (Prolog) in the 1980s?
Honestly I don't know how you formed this particular opinion (if it's even your own and not a false consensus of other peoples thoughts). I cannot see any future without LLMs unless replaced by something smarter, cheaper, and faster. That's because it's already bearing out. I can talk to a computer and the computer can solve problems based on words alone. I'm old enough this is pure science fiction. If I could send one of these machines back to that past for people to interact with, there are those that would scream and pass out in terror. They would absolutely tell you that we created the monster we should never create.
If you're trying to compare symbolic AI of the past to what we have now, you're not even on the same field, you're playing a completely different game.
There was a LOT of hype around "this is an entire new economic model". While, yes, digital products have zero marginal cost, people were talking as if profits and revenue didn't matter.
This was also WAY before the famous Silicon Valley "pure play" scene. [0]
And the internet has devastated many past businesses that were highly profitable. A great many things in the world look vastly different than from before.
>people were talking as if profits and revenue didn't matter.
People say all kind of dumb shit too. If for example machine intelligence took over the world tomorrow and turned all of humanity into meat cubes for biofuel said intelligence is still going to apply the basic laws of economics to what it does. It needs to have some way of accounting that fact we live in an energy limited universe. Just because economics still applies doesn't mean that we as humans shouldn't be really fucking careful creating said machines as we don't want to end up as biofuel.
The "problem" with Japan's approach was that it was top-down, being driven by a committee of bureaucrats. Unlike the Toyota approach (continual improvement and pushing decisions to the lowest level possible), this fossilized decisions (like picking Prolog instead of any other possibly better programming language).
To give an idea of how intransigent some Japanese bureaucracies can be:
> It's taken until 2024, but Japan has finally said goodbye to floppy disks.
> Up until last month, people were still asked to submit documents to the government using the outdated storage devices, with more than 1,000 regulations requiring their use.
> Sony, the last manufacturer of the disks, ended its production in 2011.
Prolog isn't a funny nonsensical old language like COBOL, only liked by committe burocrats because they heard its name once. It's one of THE foundational languages of symbolic AI. In the ideal case, you're not supposed to write code, merely constraints the interpreter satisfies through search. It would be like saying OpenAI shouldn't have used Lean but Java.