Maintaining vibe coded software is going to become hours spent with Claude not your users.
That's going to be the difference. It takes nothing to rebuild the software, but listening to users, iterating, handling issues. That's boring.
The ones that win will be the ones that stay the course, not the ones that were built the quickest.
But I guess you mean the discovery part? Yea, agents are not going to totally replace that anytime soon. Though, Claude voice mode is pretty good these days, so I’m sure it’s on their mind.
Not sure what you mean by “stay the course.” I think the winners will be those with the most effective marketing strategies. Surely that will require automation.
If LLMs were performing according to hype then yes, virtually all paid software would be gone by now and there would be a high quality FOSS equivalent of all of it.
Is asking an LLM to "make an open-source Photoshop clone" more like GIMP, or more like opening someone else's photo in Photoshop and clicking the menu option for the filter to make it look like a stained glass window and claiming the stained glass window version is your own IP that doesn't need permission from the original creator?
We may need new IP laws. Or, to the horror of many software developers 20 years ago, software patents.
And "new IP laws" doesn't mean "stronger": the justification for giving creators a monopoly on their works (the right to copy, or copyright) is to encourage more. If we've got a machine to automate this, there's suddenly no reason to encourage more.
But what about when they're only given the user manual and told to implement it?
And extra "fun", given that "hack HuggingFace" wasn't part of the thing being tested when OpenAI's LLM did exactly that: what happens when the LLM decides the best way to implement the user manual is to decompile the binary?