>You don’t want your actual currency to gain value just by waiting
You might not, I do.
Tell you what: you go short btc/usd, I'll go long btc/usd, and let's circle back in 10 years and see who did better.
You might not, I do.
Tell you what: you go short btc/usd, I'll go long btc/usd, and let's circle back in 10 years and see who did better.
> You might not, I do.
Then you don't want a currency. For something to be money it needs to (among other things) be a medium of exchange, and nobody really wants to trade away a thing today if they know it will be more valuable tomorrow.
Suppose you have some control over currency. You run a country. I'm that case, so you still want the currency to gain value compared to the alternatives?
Your choice is basically: holding currency is more profitable than building a house or running a business (or lending to those who do), or else less profitable. If you run a country, do you want houses and jobs and all that kind of thing, or do you want people to do better if they choose to hoard currency?
If I need a house today I'll buy it. I might not invest in real estate or stocks as much if my currency will be worth more tomorrow but I'll still buy stuff I need or want badly enough.
The bond seller is intending to put it to productive use to generate the yield.
This differs from deflation where people will (more the before) actually sit on money and not buy bonds. Then people who need liquidity cannot get it as the money supply drys up.
It's bad for the economy when money is turned into a stock and just literally sits.
It's fine for the economy if the government forces a flow from it's citizens (taxes) when it then spends that money.
Printing money also produces a flow so that's fine for the economy too. The issue with printing money is not whether or not the US economy will continue to exist, it's whether or not the government will (in more of the USSR -> Russia sense and not anarchy sense).
SPY has outperformed BTC over the last 5 years, and with far less volatility.
last 1 year, last 2 years, and last 5 years are the only "last n years" windows in which SPY has outperformed BTC. There are 19 of those windows to choose from, and only 3 where SPY wins, and that's near the bottom of the trough of the current halving cycle, no less. At the peak of the halving cycle, there are no windows in which SPY beats BTC.
With apologies to Mr. Buffett[0] if you, @anonym29, could wave a magic wand and choose to own either...
A) All 21 million bitcoins or
B) All farmland in the United States.
I submit that only an idiot would pick A.