Hacker News Reader

Comment by dyauspitr | Hacker News Reader

There’s too much actual value for a flaming crash.

There was a lot of value in the internet too but it didn’t prevent a crash.

I think you're overlooking a lot of what didn't make it. So many local ISPs, random delivery services, and online stores from that era are gone. They used the internet, even offered it, but often burned through capital without having anything to show for it.

If you look at job listings right now, there's a ton of "we apply an LLM to your business use case" type startups that really don't have good products or fundamentals, but that are getting a lot of funding because "AI".

They use LLMs, often have flashy demos, but can't keep things aligned and struggle to keep the models on task. E.g. they have burned a ton of capital and don't have a lot to show for it.

The ones that went all-in on vibe coding are even worse off.

If those startups die, the big inference providers lose a lot of customers.

That is my point. A lot of the early dot com companies didn't survive. Just because AI has value does not mean there has not been over investment or investment in the wrong places.

Idk there’s a lot of unicorn startups with valuations more than 100x earnings with no path to profit.

A lot of the token spend is circular in nature and f500 has not seen a meaningful revenue or profit improvement from AI.

Sure looks like the dot com bubble.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com