If Anthropic has made promises that its wallet cannot keep (as it looks like), it will fail. Let me remind you that Anthropic isn't profitable yet, and there's no clear path that it will be.
Either way the people should never bail out corporations.
Let me guess, subscription user?
And I realize also that they are reducing churn by keeping the value there for subscribers. Not sure what that’s costing them, but it’s definitely holding me as a customer. The product works so well for me that I honestly don’t need to even glance at the competition.
And honestly, this has been the case since day one. I’ve always used Claude. ChatGPT a bit in the beginning, but it’s emoji fetish and “bro” personality gave me the ick so I dropped them.
Give me $100 billion and I will make the greatest pencil sharpener that has ever existed, and possibly that will ever exist.
The market for AI is very clearly there; people are willing to pay more than enough so that providing LLM infrastructure (inference) is profitable.
Just the SOTA model R&D is pretty unsustainably expensive right now, but this only means that if the status quo "bursts" (because people realize that pushing the frontier is not paying off), model improvement will (probably) be slower afterward.
Note: this could also happen because expensive SOTA progress fails to keep ahead of "garage-trained" models, in such a case SOTA-AI lab investments collapsing would not really slow AI progress anyway.
At the debt levels they have, they need to start shoreing up their books or else the ramifications for the entire market will be apocalyptic
"Correct" investment volume towards early industrialization might have looked just as unreasonable without the benefit of hindsight.
Then you have absolutely no idea what is going on. It has exactly zero to do with what AI can do, and everything to do with how the companies are being run. The technology will not die, but the AI bubble will pop, regardless of what Claude can do.
The demand and profit margins for inference at the moment means that all these companies will make money off the physical investment.
So are they showing a profit that can pay off these data centers before the turn of the decade? If not, they aren't profitable enough to succeed.