And what’s the math? OpenAI is not going public, Anthropic is, and the math is… the SEC will block the Anthropic IPO because of what exactly?
OpenAI is widely understood to be next in line to go public.
The simplest explanation is, barring all else, usually the most likely.
It doesn't get much simpler than "Follow the money." You can bet the Trump administration will put up some bullshit obstacles to the Anthropic IPO that will have to be cleared up in court.