What you’re describing is a stochastic process, and that’s not how stochastic processes work at all.
Not true. Is the Anthropic IPO happening this picosecond? At 50/50 odds, I'll bet on no. I'll bet on it for the next million picoseconds. How much are you willing to put on yes?
I've just been very unlucky in the last 1000000 picoseconds that's all
Here I am saying “well, shit”, over and over again, but so quickly that not even dogs can hear it.