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> You're definitely more confident in negotiating and counter-offering if you have 10x skill

Not if high performers underrate their skill, and under-performers overestimate their skill, both of which studies suggest is true.

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I would speculate that 10x devs' underestimation primarily concerns their percentile ranking relative to peers, not necessarily their absolute skill. Comparing yourself to the likes of Carmack and Wozniak is what pushes you to become cracked in the first place.

What matters is how they rate their skills relative to their colleagues, and how well they rate their value to the company.

people who claim to be 10x devs tend to be 0.5x devs with fancier keyboards

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