When Korean and American factories ramp up, the price will plummet. Basically whatever business will not make a single Euro profit for years.
European silicon manufacturers target industrial and automotive for a reason. They want large, guaranteed contracts for older silicon nodes which are cheap and profitable. They let the US, China and Taiwan to take risk of developing new ones. When they do research, they prefer incremental ones.
When it comes to real talk Europe doesn't really care about independence more than it cares about capital and profits. Only an actual war will make the governments care and it will be too late. Without a strong drive to create one's own nuclear arsenal, don't expect any groundbreaking risky investment out Europe.
Sure, cartel behavior is illegal, but if you're in bed with the right political administrations, then blind eyes can be turned.
The primary players are South Korea, Taiwan, the US, and China and most of their capex in the space is in Asia and the US.
Additionally, most countries in Asia as well as individual states in the US are giving massive subsidizes to help retain the existing ecosystem of vendors.
It is difficult for the EU to directly compete head on when the ecosystem has largely existed outside the EU for almost 30 years.