> Lets hope Ukraine can continue to attack all other refineries because i hope theres nothing stopping them.
Do you like an energy crisis? Because this is how we get an energy crisis.
Do you like an energy crisis? Because this is how we get an energy crisis.
If it could it would have done so by hoarding all fuel internally.
Yes the markets are all connected. Yes Russia could cause a mild price increase if it wanted.
No it does not have a big enough slice of the pie that it could increase prices enough to pressure countries to decrease support for Ukraine.
People are idiots and might stop sending money to Ukraine regardless.
I mean, just look at how idiotic people elected Trump after they ousted him the first time. It's gold-fish memory in geopolitical terms.
Europe does not send money to Ukraine because ordinary citizens want to or are happy about it, it does so because smart people in the deep state realize how much worse it would be for Europe if Ukraine loses and is eaten up by the Russian Empire.
If only Europe could get a clue about immigration, unify militarily, make its voice heard about climate change, nuclear energy, support EU tech and military companies while aiming for US/Chinese style efficiencies ...
More precisely, the current USofA government, which has been kicked hard in guts by the mid terms but still continues as is until January (?) and with the current veto powering wielding POTUS for another two years.
Absolutely good news for Ukraine, but the USofA origin road bumps haven't been fully passed yet.
How many generals have resigned ?
Every time Trump wants to harm Ukraine and demands starship service be reduced or denied, every single American complies. They are just as guilty as the command, because they freely help.
> that means the American military personnel and related companies are all freely ...
Nope. It doesn't mean that at all, not in the slightest, and I'm sure you must realise that "logic" is just a cheap rhetoric trick
> How many generals have resigned ?
I don't have the figures but some have and, worse for the USofA, a good many that oppose the administration in various ways have been fired.
> every single American complies.
They don't - have you not tracked the news of the past two years? Many protests and riots pushing back on Trump policy.
> They are just as guilty as the command, because they freely help.
Including those free citizens that donate time, money, resources to the benefit of Ukraine?
All that aside, can you use more Bushmasters? - https://www.minister.defence.gov.au/media-releases/2023-07-1...
Very hard to predict what will happen first. Energy transition away from fossil is happening so the clock is ticking for Putin (slowly though, to be fair)
This is how it has been explained to me by Russians. Losing a war would result in the end of Putin’s power (and possibly his life). Any form of perceived defeat is not an option for him.
I wonder how far away the USA is from turning off all its weapons and ISR that are essential to NATO's (proxy) war on Russia ?
Russian attacked Ukraine knowing that democratic countries, many outside NATO, would help Ukraine to protect democracy and world order. I would not call it "NATO's war"
This is a Russian / GOP propaganda talking point. The current energy crisis is almost completely due to Trump attacking Iran and being unable to admit defeat.
The other part (a few percentages of the current crisis) is that there's a little bit less Russian oil available. Russian oil is low quality anyway. It is their gas which was interesting on the world market, and their main partner has winded down dependance on that.
These attacks hit Russian economy financially. The Russian economy is in an incredible weak state.
The Russians are losing ground (second month in a row) on the battlefield.
The Russians are targeting civilians increasingly which shows how desperate they are.
Yet, despite of that, Putin's demands are still idioticly unrralistic.
The Russian federation must be decapitated and split up into parts.
This is conditional on Putin remaining in power. In a world where they became a real democracy, I'd be delighted to see them as a member of the EU.
THere may have been some sanctions but ther eality is the USSR economy would fail if the west stopped trade with them. The USSR collapsed because their exports value collapsed in the 80s.
Because that's how you get the attention of the US?
What did you expect?
War in Europe is unnaceptable to us europeans, russian intervention is unnaceptable to us!
What's the point in havin cheap energy if we don't have security.
The US once more wants to fuck over Europe and make some shady deals with Russia to counterbalance (in their mind) China and keep US tech hegemony over Europe, Ukraine is obviously just a pawn to the US so while I don't like higher energy prices, I 100% get what they're doing: it's a desperate measure meant to stop the war and get the world's attention.
There are only two routes out of this: Persuade Russia to stop, or persuade Ukraine to stop. To persuade Russia to stop, you have to persuade Putin to stop. But Putin won't, not with anything short of victory as perceived by him (or at least something he can sell to his people as victory). And Ukraine won't, not without their territory back. There is no common ground between them.
That leaves the options as either assassinate Putin, or intervene strongly enough so that one side or the other receives irrevocable military defeat. So, concretely, what exactly do you think the world should have done??
Americans need to stop thinking that leaders act alone and everyone under them only accepts orders.
Nothing will change because those currently enjoying their privilege because of their position dont want that to change. If it kills millions of others, they simply dont care. It doesnt bother the current batch of generals to send thousnads to die on a daily basis why would that change tomorrow if Putin dies ?
If Putin dies tomorrow, those generals have a decision to make: Do they want to continue fighting on the front lines in Ukraine, and maybe get killed? Or do they want to rush back into the power vacuum created by Putin's death, and see if they can be the one (or one of the ones) that emerges with power?
It is about giving up territory AND being attacked again.
What would be the point of that?
They have the right to defend their homes and kids first above your right to drive a car. Go buy a bicycle.
As MiroslavPokorny notes though, there are still storage tanks at either end to ensure there's always tanks holding a head of crude from wells to feed into the pipes, and tanks at the port end to buffer incoming when no ships are in port.
Only if you are russian.
Blown up refineries means more russian oil is available for export to China.
Powder and Artillery are the most efficacious, Sure, and infallibly conciliatory Measures We can adopt.
This is why oil prices, while high, have no reason to hit stratospherical levels. The world will be fine.
Prices are not going down for a years.