Norvig, Google's director of research, talks AI
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I want to know more about "probabilistic first-order logic", what is a good paper to start?
The best logic I've seen to date for helping model human conception is Fred Sommers's Term Functor Logic: http://www.formalontology.it/sommersf.htm
A great book on the Logic: http://www.amazon.com/Invitation-Formal-Reasoning-Frederic-S...