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Historical events being events that people thought significant enough to write down?

Because I'd posit that the vast majority of the human world we experience today was shaped by chance events that nobody noticed.

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Well, it would be better to be able to brag that you determined, mathematically, that disasters are most likely to occur in February, rather than being able to say "I determined that most events that people may or may not notice occur in August!"

this would simply lead to me having plausible reasons not to leave the house everyday....except on the day with the greatest proportion of in home deaths.

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