So while you might technically describe it as deflation, it might simply be reversion to the mean, in which BTC becomes more valuable until it reaches a saturation point.
So while you might technically describe it as deflation, it might simply be reversion to the mean, in which BTC becomes more valuable until it reaches a saturation point.
Since Bitcoin has a hard upper limit in supply which has not been reached yet, its pretty clear that -- barring a major loss in Bitcoins popularity as a currency (which is actually quite probable, and which will counteract this effect) -- its current rate of deflation while its still in the supply-expansion phase is almost certainly <i>less than</i> its long-term expected rate of deflation.
Bitcoin's hard upper limit might make it attractive as an investment, but makes it undesirable as a currency (of course, even with the upper supply limit, the lack of utility value and the fact that bitcoins are essentially intangible make it somewhat dubious long-term value as an investment, but perhaps intangible collectibles will end up as a popular collectors item.)
Effectively having bitcoin means each time you buy something over a period of time they cost you less.
Yes, like all digital goods, bitcoins are intangible.
> I would say the dollar is pretty much intangible.
Aside from the physical ones, that is correct. So what? I didn't argue that being intangible distinguished Bitcoins for dollars. I presented problems with Bitcoins as a currency, and then noted the "intangible" as an issue with them as a non-currency collectors item if they failed as a currency.
> And my $10 in 2005 had more purchasing power than my $10 do now.
So?
> Effectively having bitcoin means each time you buy something over a period of time they cost you less.
Yes, the fact that BTC has a built-in hoarding incentive and disincentive both for spending and investment is a problem for it as a currency (medium of exchange), since, were it widely accepted as a primary currency it would drive resources out of productive investment, and reduce the rate of technological progress and economic activity.